Full Breakdown
Final Appeals and Poll Battles in Minnesota’s 2024 Senate Race
By Drooid · · How we work
In this breakdown
01
Campaign Close-Out
Democrat Peggy Flanagan, Minnesota’s lieutenant governor, and Republican Michele Tafoya, a former NFL reporter, have each issued last-minute messages as the November election approaches. Tafoya’s campaign posted on X that “Peggy Flanagan and Tim Walz are either complicit or they are clueless,” accusing the Democratic ticket of tolerating corruption.
02
Poll Landscape
- New York Times/Siena University poll – surveyed 752 Minnesota voters beginning October 19; 54 % said they would vote for Flanagan, 40 % for Tafoya.
- InsiderAdvantage poll – surveyed 1,200 likely voters beginning September 28; Flanagan led 46 % to 45 % for Tafoya.
- Quantus Insights poll – surveyed 720 likely voters beginning September 8; Flanagan held 48 % to Tafoya’s 44 %.
- Decision Desk HQ average – placed Flanagan at 47.4 % and Tafoya at 43.8 % on the latest aggregation.
These figures show a narrowing gap, with the New York Times/Siena University poll presenting the widest Democratic advantage.
03
Senate Control Stakes
Democrats require a net gain of four seats to capture the Senate, while Republicans aim to defend their current majorities in both chambers. Minnesota, a Democratic stronghold since 1976 and the last state to elect a Republican senator in 2002, could influence the overall balance.
04
Official Statements & Responses
Flanagan’s campaign emphasized voter empowerment and a rejection of the “MAGA agenda,” while Tafoya’s messaging focused on alleged misconduct tied to the incumbent Democratic administration. Neither side provided additional comment beyond the statements noted above.
05
Verbatim Quotes
- “This election is an opportunity to stand up for yourself, for your neighbors, and for our country. In a few short days, we will show Trump and his MAGA agenda what real power looks like: the power of the American people,” — Democrat Peggy Flanagan
- “Peggy Flanagan and Tim Walz are either complicit or they are clueless,” — Republican Michele Tafoya
