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Full Breakdown

Republican National Committee (RNC) Chair Projects GOP Wins in Upcoming Midterms

By Drooid · · How we work

In this breakdown

01

Polling Landscape and Forecasts

An Emerson College poll released the week before the election shows Democrats leading Republicans by ten points on the generic ballot. The nonpartisan election-forecasting service Decision Desk HQ rates the Democrats’ chance of regaining control of the House at 82 percent and their probability of retaking the Senate at roughly 62 percent.

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02

RNC Chair’s Outlook

He emphasized that the RNC is monitoring data in real time and will adjust support where needed, noting that decisions about campaign assistance are being made “in real time.” Gruters also said the RNC will follow Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy’s lead if the investigation into a purported spoiler candidate in the state’s Senate race proceeds, adding the party stands ready to help “any way we can.”

03

Alaska Senate Race Investigation

Federal prosecutors in Alaska announced a separate inquiry into whether any laws were broken in an alleged effort to recruit a candidate with the same name as incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan. Democratic nominee Mary Peltola and her campaign have denied any involvement in the recruitment scheme. Gruters indicated the RNC would coordinate with the governor’s office regarding any outcomes of the probe.

04

Verbatim Quotes

  • “We put up candidates that can win and common-sense mainstream candidates, and I think that will make the difference,” — Gruters
  • “Listen, all these decisions are being made in real time,” — Gruters

05

What’s Next

President Donald Trump reversed his earlier decision to cancel two rallies slated for the weekend in Iowa and Kansas, confirming they will be held in person on Sunday. The RNC has not ruled out any procedural actions concerning election certification should Peltola win the Alaska seat, stating it will “follow the governor’s lead.”