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China's PBOC Considers Bond Purchases Amid Rising Yields

1/25/2025

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Story summary
  • The People's Bank of China (PBOC) may resume government bond purchases to combat rising short-term interest rates.
  • China's one-year bond yield rose over 20 basis points this month, reducing the gap with 10-year bonds.
  • The PBOC previously halted bond purchases in January to stabilize the yuan, creating tight liquidity.
  • Economists expect low inflation and weak credit demand to lead the PBOC towards an accommodative policy.
  • A flattening yield curve indicates bearish long-term growth expectations, pushing long-end yields below 1.6%.