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Obama Leads Trump in Hypothetical 2028 Matchup, But Ineligible

1/27/2026

43 9 Full Breakdown

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Story summary
  • Barack Obama leads U.S. President Donald Trump by 11 points in a hypothetical 2028 matchup.
  • Obama has 44% support and Trump has 33%.
  • Obama draws 57% Latino and 69% Black support, while Trump leads 41% white and 55% Fox News viewers.
  • Obama is ineligible to run under the 22nd Amendment, and Michelle Obama opposes his candidacy.