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Tax Refunds Rise 22% Amid Midterm Election Buzz

2/13/2026

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Story summary
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced that the average tax refund is 22% higher this season as the 2026 tax season began on January 26.
  • The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) has not released official filing data.
  • Andrew Lautz of the Bipartisan Policy Center warns that early data can be misleading.
  • With midterm elections approaching, refunds historically rise in mid-February due to credits such as the earned income tax credit.