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El Niño Likely 2026; Heat Waves, Drought Threaten Globally

4/24/2026

38 4 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

AccuWeather hurricane expert Alex DaSilva estimates a 15-20 % chance a super El Niño will develop during the 2026 hurricane season.
NOAA Climate Prediction Center assigns a 61 % chance an El Niño will form May-July 2026 and persist.
World Meteorological Organization warns the El Niño could cause heat waves across South America, Africa, Europe and parts of Asia and drought in Central Africa, Australia and Indonesia.

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Story summary

AccuWeather hurricane expert Alex DaSilva estimates a 15-20 % chance a super El Niño will develop during the 2026 hurricane season.
NOAA Climate Prediction Center assigns a 61 % chance an El Niño will form May-July 2026 and persist.
World Meteorological Organization warns the El Niño could cause heat waves across South America, Africa, Europe and parts of Asia and drought in Central Africa, Australia and Indonesia.