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Poll: Democrat Talarico Leads Cornyn, Paxton in Texas Runoff

4/28/2026

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Story summary
  • The TPOR poll shows Democrat James Talarico leading Sen. John Cornyn 44%-41% and Attorney General Ken Paxton 46%-41%.
  • Talarico’s edge stems from strong backing among Black, Latino, college-educated and independent voters.
  • Cornyn’s campaign and its PAC have raised over $6.5 million, versus more than $1.9 million by Paxton’s campaign and PAC.
  • Cornyn and Paxton failed to secure a primary majority and will contest a May 26 runoff for the GOP nomination.