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Republicans Jump 8% in Mail Ballots, Democrats Still Lead

5/13/2026

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Story summary
  • Mail-ballot returns show Republicans at 34 % of the vote, up 8 % from 2022, while Democrats fell to 41 %.
  • Assemblymember Carl DeMaio said the numbers are encouraging for conservatives but warned they are not conclusive and feared a shutout in the governor’s race and four other statewide contests.
  • Political data director Paul Mitchell noted Democrats may await a decisive endorsement while Republicans already have U.S. President Donald Trump-endorsed Steve Hilton.