Story perspectives

Steve Hilton Edges Becerra in California Primary Poll

5/20/2026

Summary

Story summary

Former Fox News host Steve Hilton now leads the California gubernatorial race in a Democratic-commissioned poll with 22% support, edging Xavier Becerra at 21%.
The fifth EVITARUS poll surveyed 1,200 voters May 14-16 with a ±2.83% margin of error and is the last before the June 2 primary.
California Democratic Party chair Rusty Hicks said the results urge candidates to honestly assess their chances and consider withdrawing to avoid a Democratic lockout.

History

Historical Context

On October 7, 2003 California held its first gubernatorial recall, removing Democrat Gray Davis after 55.4% voted “yes” and electing Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger. The campaign, fueled by Republican donors such as Darrell Issa, demonstrated how early polling and party fractures can overturn incumbents. Today, Steve Hilton’s 22-point lead over Xavier Becerra echoes that same strategic volatility.

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Story summary

Former Fox News host Steve Hilton now leads the California gubernatorial race in a Democratic-commissioned poll with 22% support, edging Xavier Becerra at 21%.
The fifth EVITARUS poll surveyed 1,200 voters May 14-16 with a ±2.83% margin of error and is the last before the June 2 primary.
California Democratic Party chair Rusty Hicks said the results urge candidates to honestly assess their chances and consider withdrawing to avoid a Democratic lockout.

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