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Democrat Talarico Leads Paxton 44.3%-42.8% in Texas Senate Poll

5/28/2026

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Summary

Story summary

Democrat James Talarico leads Republican Ken Paxton 44.3% to 42.8% in the RealClearPolling average of surveys from January to early May for the 2026 Texas Senate race.
Democrat James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in March after defeating Representative Jasmine Crockett.
Republican Ken Paxton won the GOP nomination in a Tuesday runoff, prompting the Cook Political Report to rate the contest as Lean Republican.

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Story summary

Democrat James Talarico leads Republican Ken Paxton 44.3% to 42.8% in the RealClearPolling average of surveys from January to early May for the 2026 Texas Senate race.
Democrat James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in March after defeating Representative Jasmine Crockett.
Republican Ken Paxton won the GOP nomination in a Tuesday runoff, prompting the Cook Political Report to rate the contest as Lean Republican.