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Poll: Paxton Leads, but Democrats Target Texas Senate

6/30/2026

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Summary

Story summary

Democrats see chance to capture a Texas Senate seat for the first time in a generation.
A New York Times/Siena poll of 656 likely Texas voters (June 19-27) shows Ken Paxton leading men 57-36, James Talarico leading women 56-38, and each at 47 percent.
Voters describe James Talarico as having character and moral values, while many label Ken Paxton as too extreme.
Ken Paxton, 63, has survived indictment, impeachment and personal scandal.

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Story summary

Democrats see chance to capture a Texas Senate seat for the first time in a generation.
A New York Times/Siena poll of 656 likely Texas voters (June 19-27) shows Ken Paxton leading men 57-36, James Talarico leading women 56-38, and each at 47 percent.
Voters describe James Talarico as having character and moral values, while many label Ken Paxton as too extreme.
Ken Paxton, 63, has survived indictment, impeachment and personal scandal.