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Harris Leads Newsom by 17.6 Points, Vance Tops GOP

7/10/2026

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Story summary
  • The Quantus Insights survey shows Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of California Governor Gavin Newsom by 17.6 points and Vice President JD Vance ahead of Republican candidates for the 2028 nomination.
  • The poll gave Pete Buttigieg 12.9 percent, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11.1 percent, Marco Rubio 25.9 percent and Ron DeSantis 8.7 percent.
  • Analysts caution that early preference polls gauge name recognition, and say fundraising, travel and early messaging will decide if Harris’s advantage endures.