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Talarico Leads Paxton 51-48 in Texas Senate Poll

7/31/2026

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Story summary
  • A poll shows Rep. James Talarico (D) leading Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) 51% to 48% in the Texas Senate race.
  • Larry Sabato says Paxton’s impeachment, 20 misconduct charges, three felony securities-fraud indictments and an affair deter donors.
  • Finance records show Paxton has raised $9.2 million versus Talarico’s $68 million, with $30 million raised in Q2.
  • Paxton beat Sen. John Cornyn (R) in the GOP primary runoff with President Donald Trump’s backing.