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NOAA sees 81% chance strong El Niño, warns floods

8/7/2026

Summary

McGuire Warns El Niño

State Sen. Mike McGuire (Healdsburg) hosted a Super El Niño town hall on Aug. 4, drawing 5,700+ viewers.
NOAA gave an 81% chance of a strong El Niño Oct-Dec with ocean temps 1.2 °C above average.
Experts warned of coastal flooding, 30 m beach erosion, and record sea levels rising up to one foot.
California OES urged sign-up, grab-and-go bags and evacuation plans, coordinating with the National Guard, CHP, Caltrans and Cal Fire to pre-position resources.

Summary

Guterres warns

UN Secretary-General António Guterres said El Niño is “adding fuel to a planet already on fire.”
The World Meteorological Organization forecasts above-average temperatures worldwide from August through October.
Climate researcher Jeffrey Shaman called the event a “large burner on a stovetop,” raising odds of extreme heat next summer.
Scientists warn the El Niño could spark drought in Indonesia and Australia, weaken Indian monsoon, and bring heavier rains to Africa.

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McGuire Warns El Niño

State Sen. Mike McGuire (Healdsburg) hosted a Super El Niño town hall on Aug. 4, drawing 5,700+ viewers.
NOAA gave an 81% chance of a strong El Niño Oct-Dec with ocean temps 1.2 °C above average.
Experts warned of coastal flooding, 30 m beach erosion, and record sea levels rising up to one foot.
California OES urged sign-up, grab-and-go bags and evacuation plans, coordinating with the National Guard, CHP, Caltrans and Cal Fire to pre-position resources.

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