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Cristobal Forms, NOAA Warns 90% Tropical Cyclone Chance

8/13/2026

25 4 Full Breakdown

Summary

Cristobal Forms

The National Hurricane Center said Tropical Storm Cristobal, the season’s third named storm and the first to develop away from the U.S. coastline, formed on August 12, 2026, 880 miles west of the Azores.
Forecasters expect Cristobal to weaken into a remnant low by Thursday and dissipate that day.
NOAA raised odds of a below-average season to 75 % and gave Invest 92L an 80 % chance of becoming a tropical depression within 48 hours.

Summary

Bissen Preps

Mayor Richard Bissen told Maui County on Aug. 12, 2026 to start emergency preparation because a system has a 90 % chance of becoming a tropical cyclone this week.
Administrator Amos Lonokailua-Hewett said MEMA is coordinating with state, county and nonprofit partners to ready shelters and supplies.
National Weather Service warned that on Aug. 14, dry air and stronger winds will raise wildfire risk.

History

Historical Context

On August 24 1992 Hurricane Andrew slammed South Florida as a Category 5 storm, destroying over 730,000 structures and inflicting about $25 billion in damage while killing 44 people. The disaster, the costliest U.S. hurricane until 2005, spurred Governor Lawton Chiles to declare a state of emergency and triggered nationwide building-code reforms that still shape storm preparedness today.

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Cristobal Forms

The National Hurricane Center said Tropical Storm Cristobal, the season’s third named storm and the first to develop away from the U.S. coastline, formed on August 12, 2026, 880 miles west of the Azores.
Forecasters expect Cristobal to weaken into a remnant low by Thursday and dissipate that day.
NOAA raised odds of a below-average season to 75 % and gave Invest 92L an 80 % chance of becoming a tropical depression within 48 hours.

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