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Michigan poll shows Rogers leading El-Sayed 51%–47%

8/15/2026

25 4 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

Rep. Mike Rogers (R-Mich.) leads Democratic candidate Abdul El-Sayed 51% to 47% in a Michigan poll Aug. 6-10, 2026.
Rogers has 96% Republican backing while El-Sayed has 91% support but only 69% from non-DSA Democrats.
El-Sayed trails Black, female and suburban voters while Rogers trails President Donald Trump among voters under 30 and independents.
54% view El-Sayed as extreme, 51% view Rogers as close to President Donald Trump, with –13 and –6.

History

Historical Context

On November 8 2016, businessman Donald Trump defeated former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, securing 304 of 538 electoral votes while losing the popular vote by 2.1%. That upset gave Republicans control of the White House and both chambers for the first time since 2004. The resulting partisan realignment still shapes Michigan’s 2026 congressional race, where Rep. Mike Rogers leads Democrat Abdul El-Sayed.

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Story summary

Rep. Mike Rogers (R-Mich.) leads Democratic candidate Abdul El-Sayed 51% to 47% in a Michigan poll Aug. 6-10, 2026.
Rogers has 96% Republican backing while El-Sayed has 91% support but only 69% from non-DSA Democrats.
El-Sayed trails Black, female and suburban voters while Rogers trails President Donald Trump among voters under 30 and independents.
54% view El-Sayed as extreme, 51% view Rogers as close to President Donald Trump, with –13 and –6.

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