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China Would Meet 60% of Drone Demand, Study Finds

8/22/2026

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Story summary
  • China’s industrial system would meet only 60 % of its military drone demand, study finds.
  • An AI model estimated limits by linking drone assembly plants with subsystem and component suppliers.
  • The model considered inventories, capacity, backlogs, budgets, and civilian factory conversion.
  • Professor Zhang Jihai led the study with Beijing Institute of Technology staff.
  • They noted capacity expansion cannot quickly close the gap because new production lines need time.