Story perspectives

Quantus Poll Shows Katie Hobbs Leading Andy Biggs

8/23/2026

Summary

Story summary

Andy Biggs trails Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs in Arizona’s gubernatorial race.
A Quantus poll of 780 voters on Aug 21 gave Hobbs 49.1% and Biggs 43.2%, with 6% undecided.
Hobbs leads 18-29 voters 80.6% and 30-44 voters 63.3%, but only 48% of 45-64.
75% of Republicans intend to vote Biggs, while 86% of Democrats intend Hobbs.

History

Historical Context

In the 2002 Arizona gubernatorial election, Democrat Janet Napolitano defeated Republican Matt Salmon, securing 56% of the vote and flipping the state’s executive branch. Napolitano’s victory, backed by the Democratic Party and a 1.2-million-voter turnout, marked the first Democratic governorship since 1990 and shifted Maricopa County’s leanings by 5 percentage points. Today’s Arizona race mirrors that 2002 contest, with Democrat Katie Hobbs leading Republican Andy Biggs in a Quantus poll showing 49.1% to 43.2% support. The close split suggests Arizona’s electorate remains volatile, foreshadowing potential policy swings and influencing national party strategies ahead of the 2024 presidential election.

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Story summary

Andy Biggs trails Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs in Arizona’s gubernatorial race.
A Quantus poll of 780 voters on Aug 21 gave Hobbs 49.1% and Biggs 43.2%, with 6% undecided.
Hobbs leads 18-29 voters 80.6% and 30-44 voters 63.3%, but only 48% of 45-64.
75% of Republicans intend to vote Biggs, while 86% of Democrats intend Hobbs.

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