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Abbott Leads Hinojosa by 1 Point in Poll

9/7/2026

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Story summary
  • Gov. Greg Abbott leads Democrat Gina Hinojosa by one point in the latest poll.
  • An Overton Insights/Texas Public Policy Foundation poll (Aug. 24-26) gave Abbott 46.9% and Hinojosa 45.8%.
  • Hinojosa leads Abbott among women 52% to 41% and Black voters by 49 points.
  • Abbott entered the race with $106 million, spent $54.5 million, and has $67.2 million cash on hand.
  • Prediction markets list Abbott’s re-election odds at 82% on Kalshi and 81.3% on Polymarket.