Story perspectives

AtlasIntel Poll Ties Flavio Bolsonaro and Lula at 46%

By Drooid · Sep 11, 2026, 8:59 AM UTC · How we work

Summary

Story summary

Flavio Bolsonaro tied with President Luiz Lula da Silva at 46% in an AtlasIntel poll.
The tie followed a swing from a 4.5-point Lula lead in August after a Supreme Court feud.
Justices André Mendonça and Alexandre de Moraes clashed over leaked messages with banker Daniel Vorcoro.
Federal Police executed search warrants on a former Bolsonaro aide and on Flavio Bolsonaro’s ties to Vorcoro.

History

Historical Context

After Jair Bolsonaro’s 2018 victory, Brazil swung back to the left when Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won the 2022 runoff with 50.9% of the vote, the closest margin in the nation’s history. The outcome triggered a wave of Supreme Federal Court investigations, and Flávio Bolsonaro’s 46% poll tie revives the 2018-era judicial-political clash.

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Story summary

Flavio Bolsonaro tied with President Luiz Lula da Silva at 46% in an AtlasIntel poll.
The tie followed a swing from a 4.5-point Lula lead in August after a Supreme Court feud.
Justices André Mendonça and Alexandre de Moraes clashed over leaked messages with banker Daniel Vorcoro.
Federal Police executed search warrants on a former Bolsonaro aide and on Flavio Bolsonaro’s ties to Vorcoro.

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