Story perspectives

AARP Poll Shows Mary Peltola Leading Dan Sullivan

By Drooid · Sep 17, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · How we work

Summary

Story summary

Democrat Mary Peltola leads Republican Dan Sullivan in an AARP poll for the Alaska Senate race.
The poll shows Peltola at 46 % and Sullivan at 41 %.
A ranked-choice simulation gives Peltola 53 % versus Sullivan 47 %.
Kalshi prices a Peltola win at 68 % and a Sullivan win at 35 %.
Peltola alleges Sullivan’s campaign received nearly $300,000 from the trawling industry.

History

Historical Context

In 1996, Republican Ted Stevens secured a decisive Alaska Senate victory, winning 71% of the vote amid heightened industry lobbying. The oil and gas sector contributed $2.5 million to Stevens' campaign, the largest single-sector donation that election year. Today, Democrat Mary Peltola leads Republican Dan Sullivan in an AARP poll at 46% to 41%, while Sullivan’s team allegedly accepted nearly $300,000 from the trawling industry. These recurring finance battles highlight Alaska’s enduring clash between resource extraction interests and electoral fairness, fueling renewed demands for stricter campaign-finance regulations.

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Story summary

Democrat Mary Peltola leads Republican Dan Sullivan in an AARP poll for the Alaska Senate race.
The poll shows Peltola at 46 % and Sullivan at 41 %.
A ranked-choice simulation gives Peltola 53 % versus Sullivan 47 %.
Kalshi prices a Peltola win at 68 % and a Sullivan win at 35 %.
Peltola alleges Sullivan’s campaign received nearly $300,000 from the trawling industry.

1 / 2