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Story summary
- Democrats James Talarico and Gina Hinojosa lead Republicans in recent Texas polls.
- Marist Poll (Sept. 17-20) gave Talarico 50% vs Ken Paxton 44% and Hinojosa 49% vs Greg Abbott 46%.
- Independents backed Talarico 55% and Hinojosa 52%.
- Nevertheless, 52% think Ken Paxton will win the Senate and 68% expect Greg Abbott’s reelection.
- Cook Political Report now rates the Senate race a toss-up and the governor race likely Republican.
