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Talarico Leads Paxton by Five in Texas Poll, Race Toss-Up

By Drooid · Sep 27, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC · How we work

Summary

Story summary

Democratic candidate James Talarico leads Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton by five points in a poll.
The Texas Public Opinion Research poll shows Talarico at 49% and Paxton at 44% support.
Independent voters favor Talarico 58% to Paxton 26%.
Talarico leads Latino, Black, under-55, college-educated, male and female voters.
The Cook Political Report now rates the Senate race a toss-up after the poll shift.

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Story summary

Democratic candidate James Talarico leads Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton by five points in a poll.
The Texas Public Opinion Research poll shows Talarico at 49% and Paxton at 44% support.
Independent voters favor Talarico 58% to Paxton 26%.
Talarico leads Latino, Black, under-55, college-educated, male and female voters.
The Cook Political Report now rates the Senate race a toss-up after the poll shift.