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Polls Tighten Brazil’s October 25 Runoff Between Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro

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Story summary
  • President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro contest Brazil’s pivotal election.
  • Polls show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ahead and tied with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro for an October 25 runoff.
  • U.S. President Donald Trump imposed 50 percent tariffs on Brazilian goods in July 2025 and sanctioned Justice Alexandre de Moraes.
  • Analysts say a Senator Flávio Bolsonaro win would align Brazil with Washington while preserving its trade relationship with China.