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Trafalgar Poll Shows Talarico Leads Paxton in Texas

By Drooid · Oct 13, 2026, 3:47 PM UTC · How we work

Summary

Story summary

U.S. President Donald Trump urged Texas voters to support Republican Ken Paxton over Democrat James Talarico.
A Trafalgar poll Oct 6-8 gave James Talarico 47.1% support versus Ken Paxton’s 43.6%.
On Oct 11, Kalshi priced James Talarico at 63% and Polymarket at 64%.
James Talarico missed nine campaign days with flu, returning Oct 9 at Austin City Limits.
Ken Paxton posted “MISSING” flyers, calling James Talarico’s absence a campaign liability.

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Story summary

U.S. President Donald Trump urged Texas voters to support Republican Ken Paxton over Democrat James Talarico.
A Trafalgar poll Oct 6-8 gave James Talarico 47.1% support versus Ken Paxton’s 43.6%.
On Oct 11, Kalshi priced James Talarico at 63% and Polymarket at 64%.
James Talarico missed nine campaign days with flu, returning Oct 9 at Austin City Limits.
Ken Paxton posted “MISSING” flyers, calling James Talarico’s absence a campaign liability.