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Decision Desk HQ shifts Florida governor race to Lean Republican

By Drooid · Oct 14, 2026, 3:01 AM UTC · How we work

Summary

Story summary

Decision Desk HQ moved its rating from ‘Toss Up’ to ‘Lean Republican’ for the Florida governor race.
U.S. Republican Byron Donalds leads the race with 52 percent in the Stetson poll released October 13.
Democrat David Jolly tied at 47 percent in the Change Research survey conducted October 8-10.
Donalds raised $134.4 million and spent $91.7 million, while Jolly raised $16.7 million and spent $11.2 million.
Early voting begins October 19; mandatory voting runs October 24-31 before the November 3 election.

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Story summary

Decision Desk HQ moved its rating from ‘Toss Up’ to ‘Lean Republican’ for the Florida governor race.
U.S. Republican Byron Donalds leads the race with 52 percent in the Stetson poll released October 13.
Democrat David Jolly tied at 47 percent in the Change Research survey conducted October 8-10.
Donalds raised $134.4 million and spent $91.7 million, while Jolly raised $16.7 million and spent $11.2 million.
Early voting begins October 19; mandatory voting runs October 24-31 before the November 3 election.