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Troy Jackson Leads Susan Collins in October Polls

By Drooid · Oct 28, 2026, 02:38 UTC · How we work

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Summary

Democrat Troy Jackson leads Senator Susan Collins with 49% to 47% in two October polls.
Prediction markets give Jackson a 62% win probability on Kalshi.
Jackson out-raised Collins four-to-one in the latest quarter.
A Washington Post-George Mason poll showed Jackson at 50% and Collins at 46%.
A data-center protest disrupted the final October debate.

History

The 1994 United States Senate elections, held on November 8, 1994, delivered a Republican takeover of the chamber, ending Democratic control. Republican leader Newt Gingrich highlighted the party’s 54% Senate share, while President Bill Clinton’s approval hovered near 45% in national polls. Similarly, 2024’s Maine Senate race pits Democrat Troy Jackson against incumbent Republican Susan Collins, with polls showing Jackson leading by roughly three points. If Jackson wins, the seat could contribute to a renewed Republican minority, echoing the 1994 shift that reshaped congressional dynamics for years.

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Historical Context

The 1994 United States Senate elections, held on November 8, 1994, delivered a Republican takeover of the chamber, ending Democratic control. Republican leader Newt Gingrich highlighted the party’s 54% Senate share, while President Bill Clinton’s approval hovered near 45% in national polls. Similarly, 2024’s Maine Senate race pits Democrat Troy Jackson against incumbent Republican Susan Collins, with polls showing Jackson leading by roughly three points. If Jackson wins, the seat could contribute to a renewed Republican minority, echoing the 1994 shift that reshaped congressional dynamics for years.

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